中图分类法:	O212.8 版次：
著者:	Smith, J. Q.,
题名:	Bayesian decision analysis : [ principles and practice /] / ,
出版发行:	出版地： Cambridge ; 出版社： Cambridge University Press, 出版日期： 2010.
载体形态:	ix, 338 p. : ill. ; 26 cm.
内容提要:	"Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics"--
主题词:	Bayesian statistical decision theory.